
Photo=S-Oil Mapo Office Building
According to the investment banking (IB) industry on the 24th, S-OIL is conducting a demand forecast for the issuance of public corporate bonds worth 350 billion KRW. The bond maturities are structured as follows: 3-year (200 billion KRW), 5-year (70 billion KRW), 7-year (30 billion KRW), and 10-year (50 billion KRW).
The company has proposed an interest rate band of -30 to +30 basis points (bp) relative to the average private bond evaluation yield for each maturity. Depending on demand forecast results, the issuance size may increase to a maximum of 440 billion KRW. The funds raised will be used entirely for debt repayment.
The joint bookrunners include Samsung Securities, NH Investment & Securities, Shinhan Investment, KB Securities, and Mirae Asset Securities. Daishin Securities, Hana Securities, and iM Securities are participating in underwriting.
S-OIL’s credit rating is AA+ according to Korea Investors Service (KIS), while Korea Ratings (KR) and NICE Investors Service rate it at AA0. However, both KR and NICE have assigned a “Positive” outlook, suggesting a likely upgrade to AA+.
Currently, S-OIL’s private bond evaluation yield for each maturity is lower than the AA+ average yield, indicating that its credit profile is stronger than AA0-rated bonds used for comparison.
For the 10-year bond, the AA+ credit spread (credit yield minus government bond yield) stands at 88bp, while S-OIL’s private bond evaluation yield spread is 54bp. The AA0 credit spread is significantly higher at 122bp.

Source=Financial Investment Association
The government bond yield currently shows a 10-year yield of 2.875%, which is lower than the 7-year yield (2.886%). Typically, longer-term yields are higher, but long-term rates often align with economic growth forecasts. This suggests market concerns about a potential slowdown in Korea’s economic growth.
In such periods, corporate bond issuance can become more challenging, as funds tend to flow into government bonds or high-credit corporate bonds. Even high-rated companies may find it difficult to issue long-term bonds in large amounts.
S-OIL’s bond yield levels indicate that it is among the highest-rated AA+ issuers. However, unlike government bonds, its 10-year bond yield is not lower than its 7-year bond yield. Looking at the credit spreads, they narrow progressively for the 3-year, 5-year, and 7-year bonds but widen significantly for the 10-year bond.
A higher credit spread for the 10-year bond may appeal to investors. Notably, no other domestic refining or petrochemical company issued a 10-year bond last year, nor has any done so this year prior to S-OIL’s issuance.
This approach can be indirectly understood through credit rating agencies’ criteria for rating adjustments. While KR has assigned an AA+ rating, as of Q3 2023, S-OIL has met some conditions for a potential downgrade.
KIS and NICE have given a “Positive” outlook but have set downgrade triggers that could revert their ratings to “Stable.” This reflects the combination of increased debt due to large-scale investments (such as the Shaheen Project) and deteriorating profitability amid a downturn in the refining and petrochemical industries.
The “Shaheen Project” is part of a strategic initiative led by S-OIL’s largest shareholder, Saudi Aramco. In addition to issuing corporate bonds, S-OIL has been in ongoing discussions with Aramco and financial institutions regarding funding. However, the company appears to be maintaining a cautious stance on increasing its financial burden.
An IB industry insider commented, “S-OIL has historically had a lower credit spread compared to the average for its rating grade. While it has issued 10-year bonds since 2023, the issuance size has been gradually decreasing.” He added, “The longer the maturity, the higher the interest cost. Given the need to manage its debt scale, S-OIL is likely to remain cautious in significantly expanding its bond issuance.”
Lee Sungkyu (lsk0603@fntimes.com)



















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